Incident: SpaceX Starlink Satellite Failure Due to Space Weather Impact

Published Date: 2022-11-19

Postmortem Analysis
Timeline 1. The software failure incident of the SpaceX Starlink communications satellites happened in February [135207]. Therefore, the software failure incident occurred in February.
System unknown
Responsible Organization 1. The space weather conditions caused by the sun were responsible for the software failure incident involving the 38 Starlink communications satellites launched by SpaceX [135207].
Impacted Organization 1. SpaceX [135207]
Software Causes 1. unknown
Non-software Causes 1. Space weather disturbances caused by the sun, specifically geomagnetic storms, which affected Earth's upper atmosphere and created significant drag on the satellites [135207].
Impacts 1. The software failure incident caused 38 out of 49 Starlink communications satellites launched by SpaceX to fail, resulting in a loss of connectivity for remote locations on Earth and costing the commercial space company millions [135207].
Preventions 1. Improved space weather alerts and forecasting systems could have helped prevent the software failure incident involving the SpaceX Starlink communications satellites [135207].
Fixes 1. Implementing better space weather alerts to prevent similar commercial space disasters [135207].
References 1. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Space Weather Prediction Center 2. SpaceX [135207]

Software Taxonomy of Faults

Category Option Rationale
Recurring unknown The articles do not mention any specific software failure incident happening again at one_organization or multiple_organization. Therefore, the information related to the recurrence of a similar incident within the same organization or across multiple organizations is unknown in this context.
Phase (Design/Operation) unknown (a) The software failure incident related to the design phase: The incident of the 38 Starlink communications satellites failing after being launched into low orbit was not directly attributed to a software failure in the design phase. Instead, the failure was caused by a space storm that disrupted the satellites' orbit-raising maneuvers due to disturbances in Earth's upper atmosphere [135207]. (b) The software failure incident related to the operation phase: The incident of the 38 Starlink communications satellites failing after launch was not directly attributed to a software failure in the operation phase. The failure was due to the space storm causing significant drag in Earth's upper atmosphere, preventing the satellites from reaching orbit and leading to their reentry and burning up in the atmosphere [135207].
Boundary (Internal/External) outside_system The software failure incident related to the SpaceX Starlink communications satellites can be categorized as an outside_system failure. The incident was caused by a space storm originating from the sun, which affected the satellites' ability to perform their orbit-raising maneuvers, leading to their failure and eventual reentry into Earth's atmosphere [135207].
Nature (Human/Non-human) non-human_actions (a) The software failure incident in this case was not directly attributed to non-human actions. The failure was caused by a space storm affecting Earth's upper atmosphere, which led to significant drag on the satellites and prevented them from reaching orbit, ultimately causing them to fall back to Earth [135207]. (b) The software failure incident was not directly caused by human actions. However, the researchers highlighted the need for better space weather alerts and forecasting systems to prevent similar incidents in the future. They emphasized the importance of addressing gaps in space physics that could impact prediction accuracy and space traffic coordination in a crowded space environment [135207].
Dimension (Hardware/Software) unknown (a) The software failure incident in the article was not directly attributed to hardware issues. Instead, it was caused by a space storm affecting the satellites' ability to reach orbit due to disturbances in Earth's upper atmosphere [135207]. (b) The software failure incident was primarily due to the impact of space weather on the satellites, causing significant drag and preventing them from completing their orbit-raising maneuvers, ultimately leading to their failure and burning up upon reentry into Earth's atmosphere [135207].
Objective (Malicious/Non-malicious) non-malicious The software failure incident related to the SpaceX Starlink communications satellites was non-malicious. The incident was caused by a space storm that affected the satellites' ability to perform their orbit-raising maneuvers, leading to their failure and eventual reentry into Earth's atmosphere [135207].
Intent (Poor/Accidental Decisions) unknown Unknown
Capability (Incompetence/Accidental) unknown The articles do not mention any software failure incident related to development incompetence or accidental factors.
Duration temporary The software failure incident related to the SpaceX Starlink communications satellites was temporary. The incident was caused by a space storm that created a disturbance in Earth's upper atmosphere, leading to significant drag that prevented the satellites from beginning their orbit-raising maneuvers. As a result, the satellites fell towards Earth and burned up upon reentry into the atmosphere [135207].
Behaviour crash, omission, timing, other (a) crash: The software failure incident in the article resulted in a crash as 38 of the Starlink communications satellites failed to reach orbit and instead fell towards Earth, burning up as they reentered the atmosphere [135207]. (b) omission: The software failure incident can also be categorized as an omission, as the satellites omitted to perform their intended function of reaching orbit due to the disturbance in Earth's upper atmosphere causing significant drag, preventing them from starting their orbit-raising maneuvers [135207]. (c) timing: The timing of the software failure incident could be considered a factor as well. The disturbance in Earth's upper atmosphere caused by the space storm made it impossible for the satellites to begin their orbit-raising maneuvers at the correct time, leading to their failure to reach orbit [135207]. (d) value: The software failure incident did not directly involve a failure in the system performing its intended functions incorrectly (value). (e) byzantine: The software failure incident did not exhibit characteristics of a byzantine failure, which involves inconsistent responses and interactions. (f) other: The other behavior exhibited by the software failure incident was a result of space weather conditions affecting the satellites' trajectory and performance, leading to their failure to reach orbit as intended [135207].

IoT System Layer

Layer Option Rationale
Perception None None
Communication None None
Application None None

Other Details

Category Option Rationale
Consequence property, non-human The consequence of the software failure incident in the reported article is related to the loss of property due to the failure. The failure of 38 Starlink communications satellites during a space storm caused by disturbances in Earth's upper atmosphere resulted in these satellites falling towards Earth and burning up upon reentry, leading to a loss for the commercial space company SpaceX [135207].
Domain information, knowledge (a) The failed system was intended to support the information industry as it was aimed at connecting remote locations on Earth to the internet through the deployment of Starlink communications satellites by SpaceX [135207].

Sources

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