Incident: Twitter Faces Potential Major Outage During World Cup Due to Staffing Cuts

Published Date: 2022-11-18

Postmortem Analysis
Timeline 1. The software failure incident happened in November 2022. - Estimated timeline: November 2022 [135096, 135833]
System 1. Twitter's IT infrastructure [135096, 135833] 2. Twitter Command Centre [135096] 3. Twitter's coding [135096] 4. Twitter's microservices [135833] 5. Two-factor authentication microservice [135833]
Responsible Organization 1. Elon Musk's managerial decisions and actions at Twitter, including significant layoffs and restructuring, were responsible for causing the software failure incident [135096, 135833].
Impacted Organization 1. Twitter [135096, 135833]
Software Causes 1. Lack of preparations and staffing leading to a high likelihood of incidents during the World Cup [135096]. 2. Swingeing cuts in the workforce by Elon Musk affecting Twitter's ability to respond to IT infrastructure issues [135096]. 3. Change freeze imposed by Musk hampering preparations for handling traffic spikes during the World Cup [135096]. 4. Thinning of software engineering ranks due to Musk's managerial decisions leading to potential system fraying and crashes [135833]. 5. Departure of crucial programming teams and reduction in core services engineers impacting Twitter's stability [135833]. 6. Musk's restructuring and removal of microservices without proper testing causing issues like the breakdown of two-factor authentication [135833]. 7. Concerns about the lack of experienced staff for on-call rotations and potential cascading failures due to reduced workforce [135833].
Non-software Causes 1. Lack of preparations and staffing for handling large-scale events like the World Cup at Twitter [135096]. 2. Swingeing cuts in the workforce initiated by Elon Musk after acquiring Twitter, leading to significant layoffs and resignations [135096]. 3. Implementation of a "change freeze" on Twitter's coding before Musk's takeover, which hampered preparations for potential issues during the World Cup [135096]. 4. Musk's managerial decisions and ultimatums leading to a mass exodus of employees just before the World Cup, impacting the operational capacity of Twitter [135833].
Impacts 1. Twitter faced a 50% chance of a major outage during the World Cup due to lack of preparations, staffing, and IT infrastructure issues, potentially leading to service responding slowly or crashing [135096]. 2. Elon Musk's managerial decisions at Twitter resulted in a significant reduction in the number of software engineers and other workers, leading to concerns that Twitter may experience a gradual demise or even a sudden crash [135833]. 3. The departure of a large number of engineers and other crucial staff members at Twitter, including those responsible for core services and content moderation, raised concerns about the platform's ability to handle tweet surges, spam, scams, and potential system failures [135833]. 4. The reduction in workforce at Twitter, including layoffs of experienced staff members, impacted the company's ability to maintain and improve its IT infrastructure, potentially leading to service disruptions, errors, or glitches [135096, 135833]. 5. Concerns were raised about the potential impact of Musk's restructuring on Twitter's cybersecurity team, content moderation tools, and ability to detect and respond to security breaches, which could result in compromised security and data breaches [135833].
Preventions 1. Proper preparation and staffing: Adequate preparations and staffing levels could have helped prevent the software failure incident at Twitter during the World Cup [135096]. 2. Avoiding drastic cuts and layoffs: Avoiding the drastic cuts and layoffs initiated by Elon Musk after taking over Twitter could have prevented the software failure incident [135096, 135833]. 3. Maintaining experienced staff: Retaining experienced staff members, especially in critical areas like the incident response team, could have prevented the software failure incident [135096]. 4. Conducting off-platform testing: Conducting thorough off-platform testing before making major changes, such as shutting down microservices, could have prevented the software failure incident at Twitter [135833]. 5. Ensuring proper training and support: Providing proper training and support for on-call rotations and ensuring sufficient support for complex systems could have prevented the software failure incident [135833].
Fixes 1. Implement a comprehensive incident response plan to address potential issues during high-traffic events like the World Cup, including monitoring for traffic spikes and data center outages [135096]. 2. Reevaluate and potentially reverse the swingeing cuts in the workforce that have significantly impacted Twitter's ability to maintain its IT infrastructure and respond to issues [135096]. 3. Conduct thorough testing and off-platform simulations before making major changes to the software, such as shutting down microservices, to prevent unexpected failures and disruptions [135833]. 4. Retain experienced staff and provide adequate training and support for on-call rotations to ensure the stability and reliability of critical systems [135833]. 5. Prioritize cybersecurity measures, including maintaining a strong security infrastructure and ensuring a sufficient cybersecurity team to detect and respond to potential breaches effectively [135833].
References 1. Former Twitter employees with knowledge of the company's operations and IT infrastructure [135096] 2. Industry insiders and programmers who were fired or resigned from Twitter [135833]

Software Taxonomy of Faults

Category Option Rationale
Recurring one_organization (a) The software failure incident having happened again at one_organization: - The articles report on a software failure incident at Twitter related to potential major outages during the World Cup due to lack of preparations, staffing cuts, and a weakened ability to respond to IT infrastructure issues after Elon Musk's takeover [135096, 135833]. - The incident involves concerns about Twitter's ability to handle high traffic during the World Cup, potential crashes, lack of plans to tackle issues, and a significant reduction in experienced staff, including in the Twitter Command Centre [135096]. - The former employee with knowledge of Twitter's operations during large-scale events expressed worries about the platform's readiness and the impact of sudden traffic surges on the infrastructure [135096]. - Elon Musk's managerial decisions, including layoffs and demanding extreme work commitments, have led to a significant departure of software engineers and other workers, potentially affecting Twitter's stability and performance [135833]. - Musk's actions have raised concerns about the impact on Twitter's services, potential gradual demise, and the strain on the remaining workforce, including crucial programming teams being gutted [135833]. (b) The software failure incident having happened again at multiple_organization: - There is no specific mention in the articles of a similar software failure incident happening at other organizations or with their products and services.
Phase (Design/Operation) design, operation (a) The software failure incident related to the design phase can be observed in the articles. Elon Musk's restructuring and managerial decisions at Twitter have led to significant changes in the system's design and development processes. Musk ordered the firing of nearly two dozen coders and hundreds of engineers and workers quit after being asked to pledge to "extremely hardcore" work or resign with severance pay [135833]. These abrupt changes in the workforce and management style have introduced contributing factors that could impact the system's design and development, potentially leading to software failures. (b) The software failure incident related to the operation phase is also evident in the articles. The significant reduction in Twitter's workforce, including core services engineers and contractors responsible for content moderation, has raised concerns about the operation and maintenance of the platform. With over two-thirds of Twitter's pre-Musk core services engineers apparently gone, there are worries about the system's operational stability and the ability to handle high volumes of traffic, especially during events like the World Cup [135833]. This reduction in operational capacity and expertise could introduce contributing factors that may lead to operational failures or issues in the system.
Boundary (Internal/External) within_system, outside_system (a) within_system: The software failure incident at Twitter, particularly the risk of a major outage during the World Cup, is primarily attributed to factors originating from within the system. This includes issues such as lack of preparations, lack of staffing, weakened IT infrastructure due to layoffs initiated by Elon Musk after acquiring Twitter, and a "change freeze" that hampered preparations [135096, 135833]. (b) outside_system: While the software failure incident at Twitter is mainly driven by internal factors, there are also external factors at play. For example, the potential for high volumes of traffic during the World Cup is a concern, and the company appears to be trusting things to luck rather than having a reliable approach to handle such situations, as noted by a cybersecurity expert [135096, 135833].
Nature (Human/Non-human) non-human_actions, human_actions (a) The software failure incident occurring due to non-human actions: - The software failure incident at Twitter during the World Cup is attributed to a lack of preparations, lack of staffing, weakened IT infrastructure due to layoffs, and a change freeze that hampered preparations [135096]. - Elon Musk's managerial decisions, including ordering layoffs and demanding extreme work commitments, have thinned the ranks of software engineers at Twitter, potentially leading to the platform fraying and crashing [135833]. (b) The software failure incident occurring due to human actions: - Human actions such as layoffs, resignations, and managerial decisions by Elon Musk have directly contributed to the software failure incident at Twitter [135096, 135833].
Dimension (Hardware/Software) software (a) The software failure incident occurring due to hardware: - The articles do not specifically mention any software failure incident occurring due to contributing factors originating in hardware. (b) The software failure incident occurring due to software: - The software failure incident reported in the articles is primarily attributed to software-related factors such as managerial decisions, lack of preparation, lack of staffing, swingeing cuts leading to layoffs, change freeze affecting coding, and potential issues with Twitter's IT infrastructure [135096, 135833].
Objective (Malicious/Non-malicious) non-malicious (a) The software failure incident reported in the articles is more aligned with a non-malicious objective. The failure was primarily attributed to the significant restructuring and layoffs initiated by Elon Musk after acquiring Twitter, which led to a severe reduction in the workforce, particularly affecting software engineers and other crucial staff members [135096, 135833]. The departure of experienced employees, including those in critical teams like Twitter Command Centre, raised concerns about the platform's ability to handle the expected surge in traffic during the upcoming World Cup event [135096]. The incident highlighted issues such as lack of preparation, staffing shortages, and a change freeze that hampered the platform's readiness for the event [135096]. The departure of a large number of employees, including core services engineers, and the potential impact on critical functions like content moderation and cybersecurity were key factors contributing to the software failure incident [135833].
Intent (Poor/Accidental Decisions) poor_decisions From the provided articles, the software failure incident at Twitter appears to be related to poor decisions made by Elon Musk after taking over the platform. Musk initiated significant layoffs and demanded extreme work commitments from the remaining employees, leading to a mass exodus of experienced staff members ([135096], [135833]). These decisions resulted in a severe reduction in the workforce, including key personnel responsible for maintaining the platform's stability and handling high traffic events like the upcoming World Cup. The departure of experienced staff members and the lack of adequate preparation due to Musk's actions have significantly increased the risk of a potential software failure incident during the World Cup.
Capability (Incompetence/Accidental) development_incompetence (a) The software failure incident occurring due to development incompetence: - The software failure incident at Twitter is attributed to development incompetence as a result of significant layoffs and departures of experienced staff, including software engineers and other crucial employees [135096, 135833]. - Elon Musk's managerial decisions, including mass layoffs and ultimatums to remaining employees, have led to a situation where the platform is losing a significant portion of its workforce responsible for maintaining and improving the software infrastructure [135833]. - The departure of experienced staff, including those in Twitter Command Centre, has left the company ill-prepared to handle the expected surge in traffic during the World Cup, leading to concerns about potential outages and crashes [135096]. - The lack of preparations, staffing, and planning for handling the traffic spikes during major events like the World Cup indicates a failure in professional competence and strategic decision-making within the development organization [135096]. (b) The software failure incident occurring accidentally: - The software failure incident at Twitter is not attributed to accidental factors but rather to deliberate managerial decisions made by Elon Musk, the new owner of Twitter, which resulted in significant disruptions to the software infrastructure [135833]. - The thinning of the ranks of software engineers and other crucial employees at Twitter was a result of intentional actions taken by Musk, such as ordering firings and demanding extreme work commitments from the remaining staff [135833]. - Musk's decisions to cut staff, including contractors responsible for content moderation, and to make major changes to the platform without thorough off-platform testing have contributed to the potential for Twitter to experience rough edges and possible failures in the future [135833]. - The departure of experienced staff and the reduction in the number of engineering teams at Twitter due to Musk's actions have increased the risk of software failures and disruptions, highlighting the impact of deliberate managerial decisions on the software infrastructure [135833].
Duration temporary (a) The software failure incident described in the articles is more likely to be temporary rather than permanent. This temporary failure is due to contributing factors introduced by certain circumstances but not all. The articles highlight how the software failure incident at Twitter, particularly during the upcoming World Cup, is attributed to the significant reduction in staff following Elon Musk's takeover. The departure of experienced employees, including software engineers and other crucial staff, has left Twitter ill-prepared to handle the expected surge in traffic during the event [135096, 135833]. The incident is temporary as it is a result of specific actions taken by Musk, such as mass layoffs and restructuring, rather than inherent and irreversible issues in the software itself.
Behaviour crash, other (a) crash: The articles describe concerns that Twitter may experience a crash during the World Cup due to the significant reduction in staff and the lack of preparations to handle the expected surge in traffic. The former employee with knowledge of Twitter's operations estimated a 90% possibility of something going wrong that users would see during the competition, with the likelihood of Twitter staying online being no better than even [135096]. Musk's managerial decisions have led to the departure of a large number of software engineers, raising fears that Twitter may soon fray so badly it could actually crash [135833]. (b) omission: The articles do not specifically mention a failure due to the system omitting to perform its intended functions at an instance(s). (c) timing: The articles do not specifically mention a failure due to the system performing its intended functions correctly, but too late or too early. (d) value: The articles do not specifically mention a failure due to the system performing its intended functions incorrectly. (e) byzantine: The articles do not specifically mention a failure due to the system behaving erroneously with inconsistent responses and interactions. (f) other: The potential failure behavior not covered by the options mentioned in the articles is the risk of the system becoming very rough at the edges, especially if Musk makes major changes without much off-platform testing. Signs of fraying were evident before a mass exit of employees, with reports of more spam and scams on feeds, dropped tweets, and strange error messages [135833].

IoT System Layer

Layer Option Rationale
Perception None None
Communication None None
Application None None

Other Details

Category Option Rationale
Consequence theoretical_consequence The consequence of the software failure incident discussed in the articles is primarily related to potential consequences and impacts that were anticipated or discussed but did not necessarily occur. The articles highlight concerns and predictions about the potential consequences of the software failure incident at Twitter, particularly in relation to the upcoming 2022 FIFA World Cup. These potential consequences include: - Harm: There is no direct mention of people being physically harmed due to the software failure incident at Twitter [135096, 135833]. - Basic: There is no indication that people's access to food or shelter was impacted due to the software failure incident [135096, 135833]. - Property: The articles do not mention people's material goods, money, or data being impacted due to the software failure incident [135096, 135833]. - Delay: While there is discussion about potential issues and disruptions during the World Cup due to the software failure incident, there is no specific mention of people having to postpone activities directly because of the incident [135096, 135833]. - Non-human: The articles do not discuss any impacts on non-human entities due to the software failure incident [135096, 135833]. - No_consequence: The articles do not mention any real observed consequences of the software failure incident at Twitter [135096, 135833]. - Theoretical_consequence: The articles extensively discuss potential consequences and impacts of the software failure incident, such as Twitter facing a major outage during the World Cup, infrastructure challenges, traffic spikes, and the platform potentially crashing. These are theoretical consequences that were anticipated or discussed but had not occurred at the time of reporting [135096, 135833]. - Other: The articles do not mention any other specific consequences of the software failure incident beyond the theoretical discussions and concerns raised about the potential impacts on Twitter's operations and user experience [135096, 135833].
Domain information, finance (a) The failed system in the articles is related to the information industry, specifically social media platform Twitter, which is used for the production and distribution of information [135096, 135833]. (h) The articles also mention the finance industry indirectly as they discuss Elon Musk's managerial decisions impacting Twitter, a platform that plays a role in manipulating and moving information (tweets) for profit [135096, 135833]. (m) Additionally, the articles do not directly mention any other specific industry that the failed system was intended to support.

Sources

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